RASP - Risk Assessment for strategic planningThe National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) and Modelling Decision Support Framework 2 are supported by the RASP methods. Some of the most important references and applications of these methods are given below. For more information contact paul.sayers@sayersandpartners.co.uk
UK CLIMATE CHANGE RISK ASSESSMENT: FLOODING |
National flood risk ASSESSMENT (NaFRA) - Past studies
2005 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Key facts report
2002 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Report
2001 National Assets at Risk Under Climate Change - 2001 (NAAR - a precursor to NaFRA) - Report
1998 National Assets at Risk (NAAR) - paper
2002 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Report
2001 National Assets at Risk Under Climate Change - 2001 (NAAR - a precursor to NaFRA) - Report
1998 National Assets at Risk (NAAR) - paper
National LONG term investment scenarios (LTIS)
Supporting RESEARCH and PROJECT Reports
2013 NaFRA Confidence Method Development – Final - Sayers P.B et al (Published by Environment Agency - lead contractor JBA)
2011 NaFRA Confidence Route Mapping – Final - Sayers P.B et al (Published by Environment Agency - lead contractor JBA)
2010 Rocca and Sayers - RAFT TR179 - Relating asset conditions to flood risk-R3-0
2009 Sayers and Panzeri: Understanding and communicating our conference in the National flood Risk Assessment 2008 - A trial study
2007 Thames Estuary 2100 - Interventions and Assets RASP modelling developments and application Sayers et al (Published by the Environment Agency IA8 Final Report - 2007 - lead contractor HR Wallingford)
2006 RFSM - Rapid Flood Spreading Method - Initial Development - Sayers, P.B and Marti, J (developed as part of Floodsite and TE2100)
2006 Exploring the sensitivity of RASP HLM+ to variations in input data and model parameters: McGahey, Sayers, Dunning and Neve (for the Environment Agency)
2004 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - HLM plus Method - Report
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Technical summary Report - Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Coastal Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Fluvial Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
Buijs, F, Sayers P, Hall J (2004). 2004 RASP Supporting reports - Detailed Level Methods - PC Ring. A Report for the Environment Agency
2011 NaFRA Confidence Route Mapping – Final - Sayers P.B et al (Published by Environment Agency - lead contractor JBA)
2010 Rocca and Sayers - RAFT TR179 - Relating asset conditions to flood risk-R3-0
2009 Sayers and Panzeri: Understanding and communicating our conference in the National flood Risk Assessment 2008 - A trial study
2007 Thames Estuary 2100 - Interventions and Assets RASP modelling developments and application Sayers et al (Published by the Environment Agency IA8 Final Report - 2007 - lead contractor HR Wallingford)
2006 RFSM - Rapid Flood Spreading Method - Initial Development - Sayers, P.B and Marti, J (developed as part of Floodsite and TE2100)
2006 Exploring the sensitivity of RASP HLM+ to variations in input data and model parameters: McGahey, Sayers, Dunning and Neve (for the Environment Agency)
2004 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - HLM plus Method - Report
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Technical summary Report - Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Coastal Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Fluvial Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
Buijs, F, Sayers P, Hall J (2004). 2004 RASP Supporting reports - Detailed Level Methods - PC Ring. A Report for the Environment Agency
Journal papers
Sayers PB, Wallis M, Simm JD, Baxter G and Andryszewski (2010) Towards the Next Generation of Risk-Based Asset Management Tools. Editors Pender and Flaukner. Wiley Publications
Gouldby B, Sayers PB, Panzeri MC, Lanyon J (2010) Development of application of efficient methods for the forward propagation of epistemic uncertainty and sensitivity analysis within complex broad-scale flood risk system models. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering; Mar2010, Vol. 37 Issue 3, p496. Special Issue on Hydrotechnical Engineering
Gouldby BP, Sayers PB, Mulet-Marti J, Hassan M, Benwell D (2008) A Methodology for Regional Scale Flood Risk Assessment Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Water Engineering, June 2008
Sayers, P.B.and Tarrant, O. and Gouldby, B.P. and Kavanagh, David and Panzeri, M. (2006). Thames estuary - Establishing a robust flood system model to support engineering investment decisions.In: 41st Defra Flood and Coastal Management Conference, 4- 6 July 2006, University of York, UK.
Lhomme, J.and Sayers, PB. and Gouldby, B.P. and Samuels, P.G. and Wills, M. and Mulet-Marti, J. Recent development and application of a rapid flood spreading method. In: FLOODrisk 2008, 30 September - 2 October 2008, Keble College, Oxford, UK. (2008)
Dawson, R., Hall, J., Sayers, P., Bates, P. and Rosu, C., 2005. Sampling-based flood risk analysis for fluvial dike systems. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 19(6), pp.388-402.
Sayers PB and Meadowcroft IC (2005). RASP - A hierarchy of risk-based methods and their application. Proceedings of the 40th Defra Conf. of River and Coastal Management.
Hall JW; Dawson RJ; Sayers P; Rosu C; Chatterton J; Deakin R (2003). A methodology for national-scale flood risk assessment. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water & Maritime Engineering 2003, 156(3), 235-247. Robert Carr Prize
Meadowcroft IC, Sayers PB, Hall JW. (2002) Risk, performance and uncertainty in flood and coastal management - a defining review.
Paper presented at the Annual Conference of River and Coastal Engineers, University of Keele, June 2002, papers published by DEFRA,
London.
Sayers PB; Hall JW; Meadowcroft IC (2002). Towards risk-based flood hazard management in the UK. Civil Engineering 2002, 150(5), 36-42.
Gouldby B, Sayers PB, Panzeri MC, Lanyon J (2010) Development of application of efficient methods for the forward propagation of epistemic uncertainty and sensitivity analysis within complex broad-scale flood risk system models. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering; Mar2010, Vol. 37 Issue 3, p496. Special Issue on Hydrotechnical Engineering
Gouldby BP, Sayers PB, Mulet-Marti J, Hassan M, Benwell D (2008) A Methodology for Regional Scale Flood Risk Assessment Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Water Engineering, June 2008
Sayers, P.B.and Tarrant, O. and Gouldby, B.P. and Kavanagh, David and Panzeri, M. (2006). Thames estuary - Establishing a robust flood system model to support engineering investment decisions.In: 41st Defra Flood and Coastal Management Conference, 4- 6 July 2006, University of York, UK.
Lhomme, J.and Sayers, PB. and Gouldby, B.P. and Samuels, P.G. and Wills, M. and Mulet-Marti, J. Recent development and application of a rapid flood spreading method. In: FLOODrisk 2008, 30 September - 2 October 2008, Keble College, Oxford, UK. (2008)
Dawson, R., Hall, J., Sayers, P., Bates, P. and Rosu, C., 2005. Sampling-based flood risk analysis for fluvial dike systems. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 19(6), pp.388-402.
Sayers PB and Meadowcroft IC (2005). RASP - A hierarchy of risk-based methods and their application. Proceedings of the 40th Defra Conf. of River and Coastal Management.
Hall JW; Dawson RJ; Sayers P; Rosu C; Chatterton J; Deakin R (2003). A methodology for national-scale flood risk assessment. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water & Maritime Engineering 2003, 156(3), 235-247. Robert Carr Prize
Meadowcroft IC, Sayers PB, Hall JW. (2002) Risk, performance and uncertainty in flood and coastal management - a defining review.
Paper presented at the Annual Conference of River and Coastal Engineers, University of Keele, June 2002, papers published by DEFRA,
London.
Sayers PB; Hall JW; Meadowcroft IC (2002). Towards risk-based flood hazard management in the UK. Civil Engineering 2002, 150(5), 36-42.
