RASP - Risk Assessment for strategic planningThe National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) and Modelling Decision Support Framework 2 are supported by the RASP methods. Some of the most important references and applications of these methods are given below. For more information contact [email protected]
UK CLIMATE CHANGE RISK ASSESSMENT: FLOODING |
National flood risk ASSESSMENT (NaFRA) - Past studies
2009 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Key facts report
2005 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Key facts report
2002 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Report
2001 National Assets at Risk Under Climate Change - 2001 (NAAR - a precursor to NaFRA) - Report
1998 National Assets at Risk (NAAR) - paper
2005 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Key facts report
2002 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - Report
2001 National Assets at Risk Under Climate Change - 2001 (NAAR - a precursor to NaFRA) - Report
1998 National Assets at Risk (NAAR) - paper
National LONG term investment scenarios (LTIS)
Supporting RESEARCH and PROJECT Reports
2013 NaFRA Confidence Method Development – Final - Sayers P.B et al (Published by Environment Agency - lead contractor JBA)
2011 NaFRA Confidence Route Mapping – Final - Sayers P.B et al (Published by Environment Agency - lead contractor JBA)
2010 Rocca and Sayers - RAFT TR179 - Relating asset conditions to flood risk-R3-0
2009 Sayers and Panzeri: Understanding and communicating our conference in the National flood Risk Assessment 2008 - A trial study
2007 Thames Estuary 2100 - Interventions and Assets RASP modelling developments and application Sayers et al (Published by the Environment Agency IA8 Final Report - 2007 - lead contractor HR Wallingford)
2007 Sayers, Gouldby and Tarrant (2007). Flood extent and losses in London Application of the regional RASP system model. Conference proceedings, Lighthill Risk Network, Lloyds of London
2006 RFSM - Rapid Flood Spreading Method - Initial Development - Sayers, P.B and Marti, J (developed as part of Floodsite and TE2100)
2006 Exploring the sensitivity of RASP HLM+ to variations in input data and model parameters: McGahey, Sayers, Dunning and Neve (for the Environment Agency)
2004 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - HLM plus Method - Report
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Technical summary Report - Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Coastal Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Fluvial Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
Buijs, F, Sayers P, Hall J (2004). 2004 RASP Supporting reports - Detailed Level Methods - PC Ring. A Report for the Environment Agency
2011 NaFRA Confidence Route Mapping – Final - Sayers P.B et al (Published by Environment Agency - lead contractor JBA)
2010 Rocca and Sayers - RAFT TR179 - Relating asset conditions to flood risk-R3-0
2009 Sayers and Panzeri: Understanding and communicating our conference in the National flood Risk Assessment 2008 - A trial study
2007 Thames Estuary 2100 - Interventions and Assets RASP modelling developments and application Sayers et al (Published by the Environment Agency IA8 Final Report - 2007 - lead contractor HR Wallingford)
2007 Sayers, Gouldby and Tarrant (2007). Flood extent and losses in London Application of the regional RASP system model. Conference proceedings, Lighthill Risk Network, Lloyds of London
2006 RFSM - Rapid Flood Spreading Method - Initial Development - Sayers, P.B and Marti, J (developed as part of Floodsite and TE2100)
2006 Exploring the sensitivity of RASP HLM+ to variations in input data and model parameters: McGahey, Sayers, Dunning and Neve (for the Environment Agency)
2004 National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) - HLM plus Method - Report
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Technical summary Report - Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Coastal Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
2004 RASP - Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning - Intermediate Level Method Fluvial Case Main Text. Sayers, Hall, Meadowcroft, Rosu, Dawson, Chatterton, Deakin (2004)
Buijs, F, Sayers P, Hall J (2004). 2004 RASP Supporting reports - Detailed Level Methods - PC Ring. A Report for the Environment Agency
Journal papers
Sayers PB, Wallis M, Simm JD, Baxter G and Andryszewski (2010) Towards the Next Generation of Risk-Based Asset Management Tools. Editors Pender and Flaukner. Wiley Publications
Gouldby B, Sayers PB, Panzeri MC, Lanyon J (2010) Development of application of efficient methods for the forward propagation of epistemic uncertainty and sensitivity analysis within complex broad-scale flood risk system models. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering; Mar2010, Vol. 37 Issue 3, p496. Special Issue on Hydrotechnical Engineering
Gouldby BP, Sayers PB, Mulet-Marti J, Hassan M, Benwell D (2008) A Methodology for Regional Scale Flood Risk Assessment Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Water Engineering, June 2008
Sayers, P.B.and Tarrant, O. and Gouldby, B.P. and Kavanagh, David and Panzeri, M. (2006). Thames estuary - Establishing a robust flood system model to support engineering investment decisions.In: 41st Defra Flood and Coastal Management Conference, 4- 6 July 2006, University of York, UK.
Lhomme, J.and Sayers, PB. and Gouldby, B.P. and Samuels, P.G. and Wills, M. and Mulet-Marti, J. Recent development and application of a rapid flood spreading method. In: FLOODrisk 2008, 30 September - 2 October 2008, Keble College, Oxford, UK. (2008)
Dawson, R., Hall, J., Sayers, P., Bates, P. and Rosu, C., 2005. Sampling-based flood risk analysis for fluvial dike systems. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 19(6), pp.388-402.
Sayers PB and Meadowcroft IC (2005). RASP - A hierarchy of risk-based methods and their application. Proceedings of the 40th Defra Conf. of River and Coastal Management.
Hall JW; Dawson RJ; Sayers P; Rosu C; Chatterton J; Deakin R (2003). A methodology for national-scale flood risk assessment. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water & Maritime Engineering 2003, 156(3), 235-247. Robert Carr Prize
Meadowcroft IC, Sayers PB, Hall JW. (2002) Risk, performance and uncertainty in flood and coastal management - a defining review.
Paper presented at the Annual Conference of River and Coastal Engineers, University of Keele, June 2002, papers published by DEFRA,
London.
Sayers PB; Hall JW; Meadowcroft IC (2002). Towards risk-based flood hazard management in the UK. Civil Engineering 2002, 150(5), 36-42.
Gouldby B, Sayers PB, Panzeri MC, Lanyon J (2010) Development of application of efficient methods for the forward propagation of epistemic uncertainty and sensitivity analysis within complex broad-scale flood risk system models. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering; Mar2010, Vol. 37 Issue 3, p496. Special Issue on Hydrotechnical Engineering
Gouldby BP, Sayers PB, Mulet-Marti J, Hassan M, Benwell D (2008) A Methodology for Regional Scale Flood Risk Assessment Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Water Engineering, June 2008
Sayers, P.B.and Tarrant, O. and Gouldby, B.P. and Kavanagh, David and Panzeri, M. (2006). Thames estuary - Establishing a robust flood system model to support engineering investment decisions.In: 41st Defra Flood and Coastal Management Conference, 4- 6 July 2006, University of York, UK.
Lhomme, J.and Sayers, PB. and Gouldby, B.P. and Samuels, P.G. and Wills, M. and Mulet-Marti, J. Recent development and application of a rapid flood spreading method. In: FLOODrisk 2008, 30 September - 2 October 2008, Keble College, Oxford, UK. (2008)
Dawson, R., Hall, J., Sayers, P., Bates, P. and Rosu, C., 2005. Sampling-based flood risk analysis for fluvial dike systems. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 19(6), pp.388-402.
Sayers PB and Meadowcroft IC (2005). RASP - A hierarchy of risk-based methods and their application. Proceedings of the 40th Defra Conf. of River and Coastal Management.
Hall JW; Dawson RJ; Sayers P; Rosu C; Chatterton J; Deakin R (2003). A methodology for national-scale flood risk assessment. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water & Maritime Engineering 2003, 156(3), 235-247. Robert Carr Prize
Meadowcroft IC, Sayers PB, Hall JW. (2002) Risk, performance and uncertainty in flood and coastal management - a defining review.
Paper presented at the Annual Conference of River and Coastal Engineers, University of Keele, June 2002, papers published by DEFRA,
London.
Sayers PB; Hall JW; Meadowcroft IC (2002). Towards risk-based flood hazard management in the UK. Civil Engineering 2002, 150(5), 36-42.